The 2004 Quarterback Class and the Hall of Fame

I've been researching this, compiled data, and started and stopped blog posts several times: which quarterbacks are Hall of Fame-worthy? The difficulty is with current players, particularly because Philip Rivers seems to have had "bad luck" but was maybe better in his draft class of 2004 that included Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, and (undrafted) Tony Romo. The Chargers keep losing games and missing playoffs for reasons that don't seem to be Rivers's fault.

In the modern era (which the Pro Football Hall of Fame seems to demarcate at 1946), 23 quarterbacks are int he Hall of Fame. There will definitely be 4 more within 15 years when retirement and/or the 5 year waiting period sets in: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers.

Should there be a fifth? Or sixth? or seventh?

I do believe Ben Roethlisberger will get in. Unless /I've misread the data, every team's primary passer that has won 3 league championships pre-merge, or at least 3 confere…

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